Economy and News
Macro shifts, policy moves, and the news that actually hits the budget.
ADP Private Payrolls Friday Could Show the First Job Loss Print in Three Years
ADP reports April private payrolls Friday at 8:15am ET. Consensus is plus 28,000 jobs, the weakest read since June 2023, with several big...
US Economy Adds 138,000 Jobs in April as Labor Market Cooling Continues
The April jobs report released Friday showed payroll growth slowing to 138,000 and the unemployment rate ticking up to 4.3 percent,...
Israel Announces Direct Negotiations With Lebanon as Ceasefire Talks Approach
Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu confirmed Israel will begin direct talks with Lebanon on Hezbollah disarmament, adding another diplomatic...
Two CIA Officers Killed in Mexico After Drug Raid Ignite a Diplomatic Crisis With Sheinbaum
Two CIA officers died when their vehicle plunged into a ravine after a covert counternarcotics operation in Chihuahua, Mexico. President...
2026 Senate Map Comes Into Focus as Filing Deadlines Close in Six States This Week
Filing deadlines in six states close this week and the 2026 Senate map is taking shape with retirements, recruitment fights, and Q1...
Nearly 20 House Democrats Face Primary Challengers Who Raised Over 200,000 Dollars In First Quarter Of 2026
New Q1 fundraising disclosures show nearly 20 House Democrats facing primary challengers who raised at least 200,000 dollars in the first...
Trump's Approval Hits 37 Percent as Americans Turn Against the Iran War and the Economy
New polling shows deep public dissatisfaction with President Trump's handling of both the Iran conflict and the rising cost of living, as...
China's Economy Grew 5% in Q1 But the Iran War Is Already Changing the Global Outlook
China beat growth expectations for the first quarter of 2026, but rising oil costs and trade disruptions tied to the Iran conflict are...
Small Business Cash Flow Is Breaking Under the Weight of 2026 Tariffs
New data shows small businesses are now paying an average of $11,400 per month in tariff-related costs, and 61 percent report a negative...
Treasury Drops Q2 Borrowing Estimates Monday With a Bigger Refunding Statement Coming May 4
The Treasury Department is releasing its quarterly borrowing estimates Monday and will follow up Wednesday May 4 with the full refunding...
US and China Extend Tariff Reduction Through November 2026 What the Truce Means
A November 2025 deal kept the truce alive through November 10, 2026. Average effective tariff rates have fallen to 13.7 percent and...
April Jobs Report Lands May 8 and the Federal Workforce Drag Is Already Showing
The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the April employment report on Friday May 8 at 8:30 a.m. Eastern. Consensus has private payrolls...
Q1 GDP Advance Estimate Drops Thursday at 8:30 AM With Consensus Around 1.4 Percent
The Bureau of Economic Analysis releases its first read on Q1 growth Thursday morning, hours before the Federal Reserve closes its policy...
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